Help ?

IGMIN: あなたがここにいてくれて嬉しいです. お願いクリック '新しいクエリを作成してください' 当ウェブサイトへの初めてのご訪問で、さらに情報が必要な場合は.

すでに私たちのネットワークのメンバーで、すでに提出した質問に関する進展を追跡する必要がある場合は, クリック '私のクエリに連れて行ってください.'

Biostatistics Bioengineering Vascular Medicine Addiction Medicine Molecules Environmental Sciences Clinical Medicine Marine Biology In Vitro Fertilization Natural Resource Management Endocrinology Food Science Biology Alzheimers Disease Vaccines Taxonomy Neurosurgery Chemistry Forestry Aerospace Engineering
    

Focusing on Biology, Medicine and Engineering ISSN: 2995-8067 | Quick Google Scholar

Search

Organised by  IgMin Fevicon

Languages

Submit Manuscript

Browse by Subjects

Welcome to IgMin Research – an Open Access journal uniting Biology, Medicine, and Engineering. We’re dedicated to advancing global knowledge and fostering collaboration across scientific fields.

Biology
Medicine
Engineering
General Science
A to Z Topics

Members

Our goal is to strengthen interdisciplinary bonds and advance the frontier of collective knowledge.

Editors
Authors
Join Now as Editor

Articles

Our goal is to strengthen interdisciplinary bonds and advance the frontier of collective knowledge.

Early Online
Current Issue
Previous Issue
Archive
Browse by Universities
Table of Content

Explore Content

Our goal is to strengthen interdisciplinary bonds and advance the frontier of collective knowledge.

Identify Us

Publish Now

Policies

Manuscript Guidelines

Other Services

Identify Us

Our goal is to strengthen interdisciplinary bonds and advance the frontier of collective knowledge.

About Us
Contact us
Testimonials
IgMin Corporation

Welcome to IgMin, a leading platform dedicated to enhancing knowledge dissemination and professional growth across multiple fields of science, technology, and the humanities. We believe in the power of open access, collaboration, and innovation. Our goal is to provide individuals and organizations with the tools they need to succeed in the global knowledge economy.

Publications Support
[email protected]
E-Books Support
[email protected]
Webinars & Conferences Support
[email protected]
Content Writing Support
[email protected]
IT Support
[email protected]
IgMin Youtube Link

Search

Select Language

Explore Section

Content for the explore section slider goes here.

5 of 188
Climate Changes and Mango Production (Temperature)
Khalifa SM and Abobatta WF
7 of 188
Homologous Series of Chemical Compounds in Three-component Systems (Aa+ – Bb+ – Cc–) and (Zn2+ - Ge4+ - P3-) in Generalized Form
Undalov Yu K
Abstract

要約 at IgMin Research

Our goal is to strengthen interdisciplinary bonds and advance the frontier of collective knowledge.

Medicine Group Research Article 記事ID: igmin116

Wishful Thinking or Valuable Forecasts? The Value of Policy Rate Predictions in Sweden

Public Health DOI10.61927/igmin116
Åsa Hansson *
Affiliation

Affiliation

    Åsa Hansson, Department of Economics, Technology and Society and SoeTech, Lund University, Sweden, Email: [email protected]

Fulltext HTML Fulltext PDF Cite this article
11
REFERENCES
9.2k
VIEWS
735
DOWNLOADS
106
Similar Articles
Connect with Us

要約

Economists often provide predictions about future interest or policy rates. In contrast to stock market predictions, these forecasts are typically regarded seriously and presented with a degree of accuracy. This paper explores whether placing more confidence in policy rate predictions than stock market predictions is reasonable. It begins by examining historical policy rates predictions in Sweden, comparing them to actual rates to assess their accuracy. The paper then delves into the discussion of how costs of mispredictions, such as sudden and unexpected policy rate increases, can and should be addressed. Despite the Central Bank making predictions within confidence intervals and the banking sector regulating individuals’ borrowing, the burden of unpredicted rate increases falls almost entirely on individuals. The paper addresses whether that is reasonable.

数字

Mean monthly Central Bank policy rates in Sweden, 1998-2022. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 1: Mean monthly Central Bank policy rates in Sweden, ...
Actual policy rates and rates forecasted at various times, 2008 to 2025. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 2: Actual policy rates and rates forecasted at variou...
Actual policy rate at different times and the size of mispredictions at that time Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 3: Actual policy rate at different times and the size...
Coefficient of variation of predicting policy rates, 2008-2023. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 4: Coefficient of variation of predicting policy rate...
Forecast deviations from actual rates, forecasts between 2007 to 2023, percentage points. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 5: Forecast deviations from actual rates, forecasts b...
Accuracy, measured as standard deviation, for different forecasts, 2007 to 2023. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 6: Accuracy, measured as standard deviation, for diff...
Coefficient of variation for various predictions, 2007 to 2023. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 7: Coefficient of variation for various predictions, ...
Policy rate forecast and confidence interval, Forecast Nov 2021 Percent. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 8: Policy rate forecast and confidence interval, Fore...
Predictions within different confidence intervals, May 2014 to Feb 2023. Source: Monetary Policy Report, Riksbanken [4]. Figure 9: Predictions within different confidence intervals,...
Household debt in OECD countries, percent of net disposable income in 2021. Source: OECD [7]. Figure 10: Household debt in OECD countries, percent of net d...
Average interest rates for new loans, secured and unsecured, 2012-2022. Source: Finansinspektionen [5]. Figure 11: Average interest rates for new loans, secured and ...
Public debt in OECD countries, percent of GDP in 2021. Source: OECD [8]. Figure 12: Public debt in OECD countries, percent of GDP in 2...

参考文献

    1. Sewell M. The Efficient Market Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence, International Journal of Statistics and Probability. 2012; 2.
    2. Fama E. Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. Journal of Finance. 1970; 25(2): 383-417.
    3. Byström H. Finance: Markets, instruments and investments, Student Literature. 2020.
    4. The Riksbank (2023). Monetary policy report, various reports, https://www.riksbank.se/sv/press-och-publicerat/publikationer/penningpolitisk-rapport/
    5. The Financial Supervisory Authority. (2023). The Swedish mortgage market in 2023. https://www.fi.se/sv/publicerat/rapporter/bolanerapporter/den-svenska-bolanemarknaden-2023/
    6. (2023). https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/statistik-efter-amne/arbetsmarknad/loner-och-arbetskostnader/lonestrukturstatistik-hela-ekonomin/pong/tabell-och-diagram/genomsnittlig-manadslon-efter-sektor/
    7. OECD (2023) Household debt (indicator). doi: 10.1787/f03b6469-en.
    8. OECD (2023) General government debt (indicator). doi: 10.1787/a0528cc2-en.
    9. Posner P, Rosefield AM. Impossibility and related doctrins in contract law. Journal of Legal Studies. 1977; 1: 65-82.
    10. (2023). Continued great interest in debt restructuring. Press release Feb 2013, https://kronofogden.se/om-kronofogden/nyheter-och-press/pressmeddelanden/2023-02-15-fortsatt-stort-intresse-for-skuldsanering
    11. Hassler J, Krusell P, Seim A. Evaluation of monetary policy 2022, Riksdagtryckeriet, Stockholm. 2023.

類似の記事

A Case of Facial Erysipelas with Necrosis of the Upper Eyelid
Mariana LevkivYaroslav Nahirnyi, Vasyl Kopcha, Nataliya Tverdokhlib and Ivan Stefaniv
DOI10.61927/igmin241
Atmospheric Fungal Spore Injection: A Promising Breakthrough for Challenging the Impacts of Climate Change Through Cloud Seeding and Weather Modification
Adam Ghebrezgiabher Ghebreyesus and Tedros Gebrezgiabhier Gebreyesus
DOI10.61927/igmin248
Erosion Corrosion of Commercially Pure Titanium and Ti-6Al-4V Alloy in Sodium Chloride Solutions with and Without Suspended Solids
T Hodgkiess and D Mantzavinos
DOI10.61927/igmin284
Sensor-based Sorting using De-XRT Sensor Applied to a Greenfield Copper Ore Project in Southern Brazil
Evandro Gomes dos SantosIrineu Antônio Schadach de Brum and Wesley Monteiro Ambrós
DOI10.61927/igmin299
Levetiracetam-induced Rhabdomyolysis - A Rare Complication
Ayisha Farooq Khan, Naeemuddin Shaikh, Faryal Abdy and Dureshahwar Kanwar
DOI10.61927/igmin228
Prevalence of Non-specific Low Back Pain Among Chinese Healthcare Workers (Surgeons and Surgical Nurses): A Multi-Center Survey Study
Jamal Alshorman, Ruba Altahla, Ahmad Alkhatatbeh, Wan Li and Feronika Prabowo
DOI10.61927/igmin264
Sorption-based Spectrophotometric Assay for Lead(II) with Immobilized Azo Ligand
Ashirov Mansur Allanazarovich, Yusupova Mavluda Rajabboyevna, Takhirov Yuldash Rajabovich, Smanova Zulaykho Asanaliyevna and Avazyazov Mukhammad Akbarovich
DOI10.61927/igmin283
Risks and Effects of Medicinal Plants as an Adjuvant Treatment in Mental Disorders during Pregnancy
Boronin Larisa, Spinei Larisa, Chihai Jana and Nastas Igor
DOI10.61927/igmin298
Roadmap for Greening the Economy of Turkmenistan
Ahmet Penjiyev
DOI10.61927/igmin184
Challenge and Readiness to Implemented Geothermal Energy in Indonesia
Endah Murtiana Sari, Kalyca Najla Manggala, Marvian Farabi Arief and Panduaji Suswanto Umar Said
DOI10.61927/igmin178
Page Navigation
タイトルと著者 要約 数字 参考文献 類似の記事 View PDF
研究を公開する

私たちは、科学、技術、工学、医学に関する幅広い種類の記事を編集上の偏見なく公開しています。

提出する

見る 原稿のガイドライン 追加 論文処理料

IgMin 科目を探索する
Biology Medicine Engineering General Science

現在トレンドになっている記事はどれですか？

トップ10の記事をクリック

クイックリンク

原稿を提出する
IgMinリサーチを購読する

発表された記事、号のリリース、ジャーナル活動の最新情報についてのお知らせを受け取るために、メールアドレスを入力してください。

研究論文
  1. Potentially Toxic Metals in Cucumber Cucumis sativus Collected from Peninsular Malaysia: A Human Health Risk Assessment
  2. Assessing Bee (Hymenoptera, Apoidea, Anthophila) Diversity and Floral Preference in Two Habitats in the Iberian Peninsula
  3. The Influence of Dynamical Downscaling and Boundary Layer Selection on Egypt’s Potential Evapotranspiration using a Calibrated Version of the Hargreaves-samani Equation: RegCM4 Approach
  4. Enhancing Missing Values Imputation through Transformer-Based Predictive Modeling
  5. The Influence of Low Pesticide Doses on Fusarium Molds
  6. Gaussian-Transform for the Dirac Wave Function and its Application to the Multicenter Molecular Integral Over Dirac Wave Functions for Solving the Molecular Matrix Dirac Equation
もっと読む

Advertisement

×

Why Publish with IgMin Research?

Submit Your Article